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A personal blog on machine intelligence, probability, and whatever else.

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Cox’s Theorem and the Withdrawn Proof

The paper I highlighted in 2019 was quietly withdrawn three months later. Here I dig into why, walk through Halpern’s counterexample that every rigorous version of Cox’s theorem has to dodge, and take stock of what survives for probability as the extension of logic to uncertainty.

Aug 22, 2026
12 min
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Cox’s Theorem: Establishing Probability Theory

Cox’s theorem is the strongest argument for the use of standard probability theory. Here we examine the axioms to establish a firm foundation for the interpretation of probability theory as the unique extension of true-false logic to degrees of belief.

Nov 3, 2019
10 min
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Comments on Eight Abstracts

An unfocused sweep of eight abstracts from a very busy week in AI research: Emergent tool use, why hierarchical learning can work so well, brain-inspired hardware for artificial neural networks, pretraining and transfer learning for RL, chromatic network compression, semi-supervised reward shaping, WGAN model imitation for model-based RL, and navigation in turbulent flows!

Oct 6, 2019
18 min
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Active Perception in Adversarial Scenarios

Accumulating evidence about peers to discriminate potential threats.

Sep 22, 2019
5 min
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Discovery of Useful Questions as Auxiliary Tasks

Learning more like a human, and more like a scientist, by actively seeking useful auxiliary questions during learning.

Sep 15, 2019
7 min
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Deep Reinforcement Learning without Catastrophic Forgetting

Long-term learning of multiple tasks without forgetting old skills, using a new technique called Pseudo-Rehearsal.

Sep 9, 2019
4 min
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Reward tampering

Improving safety and control by preventing all manner of reward tampering by the agent itself.

Aug 25, 2019
5 min
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DRL Not Superhuman on Atari

DRL may not be superhuman on Atari after all, and how to avoid making mistakes like that in the future.

Aug 18, 2019
3 min
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Three Method Comparison for Traffic Signal Control

Comparing supervised learning, random search, and deep reinforcement learning on traffic signal control.

Aug 11, 2019
7 min
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Learning Compound and Composable Policies

Straightforward hierarchical RL for concurrent discovery of sub-policies and their controller.

Aug 4, 2019
5 min
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Efficient exploration with self-imitation learning

I wonder if that happens every time…

Jul 28, 2019
4 min
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Keeping to the Narrow Path

Better imitation learning with self-correcting policies by negative sampling.

Jul 21, 2019
4 min
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Look at This: Where We See Shapes, AI Sees Textures

CNNs trained in “the usual way” tend to learn something different than you might expect. They learn to recognize textures (local structure) rather than shapes (global structure).

Jul 16, 2019
2 min
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Way Off-Policy Batch DRL

Pre-training using a generative model of pre-recorded trajectories and bias correction.

Jul 14, 2019
6 min
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A New Series arXiv Sampler

Beginning a new series highlighting a few interesting RL papers on the arXiv each week. This week: Simple curriculum learning, learning to interact with humans, and warm starting RL with propositional logic.

Jul 7, 2019
8 min

Boltzmann Machines: Differentiation Work

My differentiation work while reading Ilya Sutskever on the biological plausibility of Boltzmann machines.

Mar 10, 2019
2 min
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Inaugural Post

The purpose statement and introduction to Computable AI.

Feb 16, 2019
1 min
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